26-week simulation reveals LLM town economy stalls
In a paper titled "But How Would AI Agents Run a Town's Economy?", researchers placed 100 memory-equipped LLM agents in charge of a closed, money-conserving spatial economy mapped to Pokhara Lakeside geography for up to 26 simulated weeks across 91 validated runs and 2.44 million decisions. The study found that while a 12x tourist demand shock increased business revenue by 4.62x, monetary transmission abruptly stopped there: wages moved by only 1.03x and just 0.3% of 3,981 menu items were ever repriced. Similarly, when agents were given randomized cash transfers, 96.7% of the funds remained unspent hundreds of steps later, demonstrating a near-zero marginal propensity to consume. Crucially, ablation experiments revealed that swapping the underlying LLM altered every measured economic outcome, whereas deleting agents' memory produced no detectable changes.
Most multi-agent society benchmarks declare victory after superficial 1- to 2-week runs, completely missing the macroeconomic stagnation and behavioral freezing that emerge over longer horizons. Long horizons expose hidden dynamics, as wealth rankings that appear virtually frozen at the 2-week mark significantly unlock by week 26. In addition, agents exhibit extreme price and wage stickiness, failing to adjust pricing dynamically even under massive demand shocks. Crucially, erasing agent memories produces no detectable impact on macro outcomes, proving that base model priors dictate economic behavior far more than accumulated context, while pervasive cash hoarding breaks standard consumption assumptions.
DISCOVERED
1h ago
2026-09-12
PUBLISHED
1h ago
2026-09-12
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omarsar0