MURM simulates public opinion locally
MURM is an open-source, local-first simulator that ingests a document, spins up diverse LLM agents, and estimates how different groups might react to it. It runs with Ollama or hosted models and adds confidence, entropy, and polarization metrics to each simulation run.
The sharp part here is not the “agents debate a document” gimmick; it is the attempt to make crowd simulation reproducible, inspectable, and private enough to use on sensitive material. Local NetworkX and ChromaDB keep the workflow off third-party memory services, which matters for policy, internal strategy, or confidential docs. The demographic archetypes, quota sampling, and multi-seed branching directly target the usual swarm-agent failure mode: everyone converging to bland neutrality. Live Wikipedia grounding plus GraphRAG make the output easier to audit, though the quality of the seed context still matters a lot. Entropy, polarization, and opinion velocity are the right kinds of metrics if the goal is research or decision support rather than a flashy demo. The big question is calibration: if the reports stay stable across seeds and actually predict real-world reactions, this could be more than an interesting local toy.
DISCOVERED
22d ago
2026-03-21
PUBLISHED
22d ago
2026-03-21
RELEVANCE
AUTHOR
pickle_at_home