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MURM simulates public opinion locally

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MURM simulates public opinion locally
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// 68d agoOPENSOURCE RELEASE

MURM simulates public opinion locally

MURM is an open-source, local-first simulator that ingests a document, spins up diverse LLM agents, and estimates how different groups might react to it. It runs with Ollama or hosted models and adds confidence, entropy, and polarization metrics to each simulation run.

// ANALYSIS

The sharp part here is not the “agents debate a document” gimmick; it is the attempt to make crowd simulation reproducible, inspectable, and private enough to use on sensitive material. Local NetworkX and ChromaDB keep the workflow off third-party memory services, which matters for policy, internal strategy, or confidential docs. The demographic archetypes, quota sampling, and multi-seed branching directly target the usual swarm-agent failure mode: everyone converging to bland neutrality. Live Wikipedia grounding plus GraphRAG make the output easier to audit, though the quality of the seed context still matters a lot. Entropy, polarization, and opinion velocity are the right kinds of metrics if the goal is research or decision support rather than a flashy demo. The big question is calibration: if the reports stay stable across seeds and actually predict real-world reactions, this could be more than an interesting local toy.

// TAGS
murmllmagentragvector-dbself-hostedopen-source

DISCOVERED

68d ago

2026-03-21

PUBLISHED

68d ago

2026-03-21

RELEVANCE

7/ 10

AUTHOR

pickle_at_home