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REDDIT · REDDIT// 18d agoNEWS
PredictMarketCap Charts AI Race Odds
PredictMarketCap's March 24 snapshot uses Polymarket and Kalshi odds to show Claude still leading the AI model race today, with OpenAI and Google priced as serious year-end threats. It also maps release timing for GPT-5.5, GPT-6, Claude 5, and Gemini 3.5 with real money behind the numbers.
// ANALYSIS
This reads like a live market tape for the AI leaderboard: Anthropic owns the present, but OpenAI and Google are still very much in the comeback conversation. The useful part is less the exact percentages than the way traders turn vague launch rumors into concrete timelines.
- –Claude's 97% March lead is basically consensus, but the 48% December price says the market expects a lot of churn.
- –OpenAI's comeback is priced around GPT-5.5 and GPT-6, but not enough to make it the clear year-end favorite.
- –DeepSeek V4's sudden jump is the best proof that these markets can catch release signals before the press cycle does.
- –GPT-6 before GTA VI sounds like a joke, but it's actually a handy clock for model cadence and launch confidence.
- –Because resolution depends on Chatbot Arena, the odds are about benchmark leadership, not user adoption or revenue.
// TAGS
predict-market-capllmbenchmarkdata-tools
DISCOVERED
18d ago
2026-03-25
PUBLISHED
18d ago
2026-03-25
RELEVANCE
8/ 10
AUTHOR
adventurer784